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 Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.On the morning of December 9, Leo, Party Secretary and Chairman of Shanghai Electric Group, went to Seoul, South Korea, and held talks with Zhao Xianjun, President of Xiaoxing Group. The two sides had in-depth exchanges on joint ventures and cooperation in the field of new energy. During the talks, the two sides also discussed the cooperation potential in the fields of hydrogen energy and power grid equipment, sought cooperation opportunities in technology research and development, project investment and market development, and jointly explored cooperative development models in the field of new energy to meet the challenges brought by global energy transformation.

Hyundai Motor: Parker will continue to be the CEO of Hyundai Motor's North American business.Kathy Hochul, the governor of New York, said that a governor's arrest warrant would be issued to the suspect who murdered the CEO of United Health Insurance.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.

CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Asian Development Bank: Reduce India's growth forecast from 7.0% to 6.5% in 2024 and from 7.2% to 7.0% in 2025.Details of the life of the murder suspect of UnitedHealth Insurance Company surfaced. On Tuesday, Luigi Mangione, the suspect accused of shooting a senior executive of United Health, had a brief struggle with police officers and shouted angrily when he was taken to a court in Pennsylvania. Man Ghioni, 26, turned to a group of reporters and shouted, "... completely unsociable, insulting the wisdom of the American people!" And then pushed away by the police. It is not clear what he is referring to. On Tuesday, more clues about his possible motive gradually surfaced. According to the police, Man Ghione had a handwritten declaration when he was arrested, which can let people know his mentality. According to The New York Times, an internal report of the new york police, after analyzing the document, concluded that Man Ghioni believed that killing was a proper response to what he thought was corruption in the medical industry. It is reported that Mann Ghioni wrote in the manifesto: "These parasites deserve it". According to Mancini's friends, his social media posts and other news reports, Mancini suffers from chronic back pain, which limits his daily life. His profile on X-ray shows an X-ray background picture with screws and steel plates inserted into his lower back.